…POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS

…HOW EXPATS CAN BE AN ASSET

Costa Rica faces 10 major challenges heading into 2026, spanning security, economic, environmental, social, and institutional domains. Key issues include rising violent crime, slower economic growth, climate vulnerability, persistent inequality, and political polarization.ticotimes+2

Top 10 Challenges for Costa Rica in 2026

  • Surge in Violent Crime
    Costa Rica grapples with a sharp increase in homicides primarily linked to drug trafficking, straining the security apparatus and prisons.ticotimes+1
  • Slower Economic Growth
    Key economic sectors such as construction, accommodation, and retail are losing momentum, leading to stagnating job creation and weaker consumer demand.ticotimes
  • Exchange Rate and Investment Uncertainty
    Global shifts, including changes in U.S. trade policy and concerns about reduced foreign investment, put pressure on Costa Rica’s currency and investment climate.ticotimes+1
  • High Inequality and Poverty
    The GINI coefficient remains high (0.49), making Costa Rica one of the most unequal countries in the OECD, with poverty levels stagnant over the past decade.worldbank+2
  • Education System Deficits
    Despite investments, Costa Rican students score below average on international tests, and skills shortages threaten future growth and competitiveness.oecd+2
  • Skill Mismatches and Informality
    The labor market suffers from mismatched skills, limited vocational training, high informality, and barriers for female participation and young workers.oecd
  • Infrastructure Bottlenecks
    Trade and domestic development are hampered by poor-quality roads, overcrowded ports, and limited rural infrastructure.linkedin+1
  • Climate Change Vulnerability
    78% of the population is at high risk from climate impacts; emissions are rising and there are new pressures on hydropower due to reduced rainfall.finance.yahoo+1
  • Environmental Degradation Threats
    Ecotourism faces risks of over-commercialization, overcrowding in protected areas, and balancing visitor demands with conservation.greencircleexperience+2
  • Political Polarization and Social Division
    Increasing clashes between branches of government, rising structural violence, weakened institutions, and public distrust threaten Costa Rica’s tradition of democratic stability.democratic-erosion+2

Additional Pressures

  • Migration flows and management protocols remain unresolved, especially with more deportees from the U.S..ticotimes
  • Fiscal constraints require careful budget management to avoid unsustainable debt while prioritizing essential services.ticosland

These interrelated challenges demand coordinated action to sustain Costa Rica’s democratic, social, and ecological strengths while fostering inclusive economic growth and stability.ticosland+6

POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS TO THE CHALLENGES

To address its 2026 challenges, Costa Rica is implementing a mix of security, social, economic, education, and environmental reforms, although some areas require more decisive action and broad stakeholder cooperation for true impact.ticosland+4

Security and Crime Prevention

  • Significant expansion of the police force, targeting districts with high violence rates, alongside technological upgrades (drones, advanced monitoring, and communication) in the 2026 budget.ticosland
  • Development of a new high-security prison and cyber-security partnerships, aiming to improve law enforcement and border control capabilities.ticotimes+3
  • Combination of tough enforcement and community-oriented social programs against the root causes of crime, including outreach for at-risk youth.controlrisks+1

Economic and Institutional Reform

  • Regulatory reforms reduce barriers to formal business creation, enhance competition, and attract investment, including fiscal rules that tie spending to economic growth and debt levels.gfmag+1
  • Increased budget allocations for education, infrastructure, and technology, with a focus on sustainability and compliance with legal requirements.ticosland+1
  • OECD recommendations: prioritize vocational and technical education reforms, lower costs to formalize employment, expand access to affordable early childhood care, and boost female labor participation.oecd

Education Quality and Equity

  • Modernize curriculum and improve teacher training to prepare workforce for a technology-driven future, closing skill gaps and ensuring equitable access to resources across all socioeconomic levels.ticosland+1
  • Continued investments in primary, secondary, and tertiary education, despite ongoing budget challenges and the need for careful legal compliance.ticosland+1

Environmental Resilience and Sustainability

  • Implementation of National Plan of Adaptation to Climate Change (2022-2026), prioritizing nature-based solutions, climate resilience, water management, and disaster risk reduction.climate-laws+1
  • Advancement of the National Decarbonisation Plan, supporting electrification of transport, renewable energy expansion, and maintaining carbon neutrality targets.climateactiontracker+1
  • Conservation-enabling programs, such as Payments for Ecosystem Services and voluntary carbon market initiatives, balance tourism demands with biodiversity preservation.finance.yahoo+1

Social Inclusion and Poverty Reduction

  • Targeted social programs for vulnerable communities, with an emphasis on education, health, and access to formal employment.oecd+1
  • Measures to reduce informality and support small businesses, facilitating economic inclusion at the local level.gfmag+1

Costa Rica’s multi-sectoral reforms and budget priorities reflect a commitment to inclusive development, climate leadership, and institutional resilience, yet greater collaboration and innovative policy execution will be critical for lasting progress in 2026 and beyond.imf+4

How can Expats Contribute to the Solutions

Expats can contribute positively to solutions for Costa Rica’s 2026 challenges through social, economic, and environmental participation, but they also risk intensifying issues if integration is poor or economic pressures are unmanaged. Their impact depends on conscious engagement, inclusion, and ethical choices.​

Potential Contributions of Expats

  • Economic Stimulation
    Expats help drive demand for local goods, services, and tourism, create jobs by starting businesses, and bring foreign capital for investment, aiding regional development outside the Central Valley.​
  • Community Engagement
    Many expats participate in community forums, support local charities, serve on water and infrastructure councils, and advocate for ecological protection—amplifying local voices and skillsets for better solutions.​
  • Cultural and Social Integration
    Expats who learn Spanish, respect local customs, and join local events foster cross-cultural understanding, reducing social division and isolation. Their diverse perspectives can encourage innovative approaches to education or entrepreneurship.​
  • Environmental Stewardship
    Those supporting sustainable tourism, eco-friendly living, and local conservation initiatives reinforce Costa Rica’s green policies. Volunteering with reforestation groups or choosing responsible housing/consumption patterns limits their negative footprint.​

Risks and Negative Impacts

  • Rising Housing Costs and Gentrification
    Perpetual tourism and high-income foreign residents can drive up property prices, displace locals, and aggravate resource shortages, including water in overdeveloped beach zones.​
  • Resource Strain and Climate Pressure
    Overuse of water and infrastructure by expat-heavy communities can worsen droughts, cause ecological stress, and precipitate conflict over scarce resources, especially in Guanacaste.​
  • Social Segregation
    Language barriers, cultural isolation, and enclaves of expat-only networks may undermine integration efforts, exacerbate economic disparities, or foster discontent among locals.​
  • Regulatory Compliance and Taxation
    Adherence to evolving regulations (e.g., new Airbnb tax) and transparent business practices is necessary for supporting national budgets, addressing informality, and curbing speculation.​

Ways Expats Can Help

  • Prioritize equitable entrepreneurship, share expertise through volunteer teaching or training, and promote inclusive social projects.
  • Support local products, respect housing and natural resource limits, and choose climate-resilient communities.
  • Advocate for education, infrastructure, and conservation at local government councils or forums.​

Expats who invest in Costa Rica’s future through collaboration, responsible consumption, and local engagement can be invaluable partners in social progress, resilience, and sustainability for 2026.

THANK YOU!

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Terry Carlile

Former Navy Journalist, published author and international speaker. Howler executive since 2019.